riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Morgan County Disaster Risk

Morgan County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

52th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#19

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

56th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 67% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Morgan County, Colorado

Morgan County: Above Average But Manageable Risk

Morgan County's composite risk score of 51.94 exceeds the national average, placing it in the "Relatively Low" category with above-average exposure to natural disasters. The county's eastern plains location creates distinct hazard patterns compared to Colorado's mountainous counties.

Above-Average Risk for Colorado

Morgan County's composite score of 51.94 ranks it above Colorado's state average of 40.67, among the higher-risk counties statewide. The county's plains geography and proximity to the South Platte River create flooding and severe weather vulnerabilities.

Tornado Risk Stands Out Regionally

Morgan County's tornado risk (66.54) far exceeds neighboring Otero County (33.27) and reflects its position on Colorado's eastern plains where severe thunderstorms routinely form. Wildfire risk (65.17) mirrors patterns across neighboring counties, though earthquake risk (39.98) remains moderate for the region.

Tornadoes Your Top Concern; Flooding Second

Tornado risk dominates at 66.54, making Morgan County one of Colorado's most tornado-exposed counties as severe storms regularly sweep across the plains. Flood risk at 55.82 ranks second, particularly threatening properties near the South Platte River and tributary valleys.

Tornado and Flood Insurance Are Essential

Morgan County residents should prioritize tornado-resistant home reinforcement and comprehensive homeowners coverage for wind and hail damage from severe storms. If your property is near any water body or in a FEMA flood zone, flood insurance is critical—many lenders require it.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Morgan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    67th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    65th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    56th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Morgan County

Risk Verdict

Morgan County ranks at the 52th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Morgan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 67th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 65th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (56th percentile), earthquake (40th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Morgan County ranks at the 67th percentile nationally for tornado exposure. Unlike many slow-onset hazards, tornadoes in Morgan County can reach full intensity in minutes; a pre-practiced household shelter plan matters far more than stockpiled supplies. Wildfire is the second hazard driver for Morgan County at the 65th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and wildfire-specific warning systems. Morgan County county emergency management typically publishes annual severe-weather preparedness guides tailored to local tornado patterns; households benefit from reviewing these before storm season begins each spring.

Regional Context

Compared to other Colorado counties, Morgan County runs 11.3 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Morgan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Morgan County, CO?
Morgan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 52th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Morgan County?
Morgan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (67th percentile), wildfire (65th percentile), flooding (56th percentile), earthquake (40th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 67th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Morgan County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Morgan County's composite risk percentile is 52th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Morgan County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Morgan County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Morgan County's tornado risk is at the 67th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Morgan County is at the 56th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Morgan County higher risk than average?
Morgan County's composite risk score of 52th percentile is above the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (67th percentile), along with wildfire and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.