riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Grand County Disaster Risk

Grand County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

50th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#23

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

62th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 26% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 47% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Grand County, Colorado

Grand County faces moderate national risk levels

With a composite risk score of 50.19, Grand County exceeds the national average and earns a "Relatively Low" rating. This reflects above-average exposure to multiple hazard types, particularly wildfire and flood.

Above-average risk for Colorado

Grand's 50.19 score places it above Colorado's state average of 40.67, making it one of the state's more at-risk counties. Its proximity to wilderness and river systems drives higher hazard exposure.

Riskier than high-altitude neighbor Hinsdale

Grand County's 50.19 score significantly exceeds Hinsdale County's 1.02—one of the state's safest areas. However, it aligns more closely with nearby Gunnison County (44.97), reflecting shared mountain geography.

Wildfire and flood are dual threats

Grand faces substantial wildfire risk (78.53) and flood risk (62.37), both well above national norms. Earthquake risk (46.63) and tornado risk (26.14) add secondary concerns across different seasons.

Bundle wildfire and flood coverage

Standard homeowner policies may exclude wildfire and flood—Grand County residents should verify separate riders or policies for both hazards. Consider elevation, proximity to water, and forest cover when selecting coverage limits.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Grand County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    62th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    47th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Grand County

Risk Verdict

Grand County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 50th percentile across all U.S. counties. Understanding the specific hazards behind Grand County's ranking helps residents prioritize where to direct emergency planning efforts.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Grand County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 62th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (47th percentile), tornado (26th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 79th percentile nationally for wildfire, Grand County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 62th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Grand County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

A composite score 9.5 points above the Colorado state average puts Grand County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Grand County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Grand County, CO?
Grand County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 50th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Grand County?
Grand County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (79th percentile), flooding (62th percentile), earthquake (47th percentile), tornado (26th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Grand County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Grand County's composite risk percentile is 50th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Grand County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Grand County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Grand County's wildfire risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Grand County is at the 62th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Grand County higher risk than average?
Grand County's composite risk score of 50th percentile is above the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (79th percentile), along with flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.