riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lincoln County Disaster Risk

Lincoln County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

7th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#53

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

15th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 19% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lincoln County, Colorado

Lincoln County sits among America's safest

With a composite risk score of just 7.47 and a Very Low rating, Lincoln County ranks in the lowest tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. This exceptional safety reflects a combination of geography, climate, and relative isolation from major hazard zones.

Colorado's safest county by composite risk

Lincoln County's 7.47 score is the lowest in the entire state—dramatically below Colorado's 40.67 average. This ranking reflects minimal exposure across the full spectrum of natural disasters compared to virtually all other Colorado communities.

Far safer than surrounding high-plains areas

Lincoln (7.47) faces a tiny fraction of the risk in Logan County (58.75) to the north and Kit Carson (32.47) to the east. Its position as Colorado's lowest-risk county reflects relative protection from flooding, wildfire, tornado, and seismic activity.

Wildfire the only notable hazard exposure

Wildfire risk scores 58.43—Lincoln's highest hazard—though still moderate in absolute terms and reflecting the county's grassland and semi-arid landscape. All other hazards score significantly lower, with tornadoes at 25.06 and earthquakes at 18.58 remaining minimal concerns.

Basic coverage adequate for most residents

Lincoln County's exceptionally low-risk profile means standard homeowner insurance provides adequate protection for most properties. Consider adding wildfire coverage as an affordable supplement given the county's landscape, and maintain routine roof and gutter maintenance to minimize fire risk from external sources.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lincoln County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    58th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    25th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    19th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lincoln County

Risk Verdict

At the 7th percentile nationally, Lincoln County experiences relatively limited natural hazard pressure compared to most of the country. Even at the 7th percentile, Lincoln County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Lincoln County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 58th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 25th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (19th percentile), flood (15th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Lincoln County's dominant hazard is wildfire, ranked at the 58th percentile nationally. Maintaining at least 30 feet of lean, clean vegetation around structures in Lincoln County and keeping gutters clear of debris significantly reduces ignition risk from wind-driven embers. Alongside wildfire, tornado at the 25th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Lincoln County's households benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance before fire season, specifically whether the policy covers replacement cost rather than actual cash value, and whether it includes additional living expenses if displacement is required.

Regional Context

A composite score 33.2 points below the Colorado state average puts Lincoln County in a better-than-typical position relative to neighboring counties.

Is your household prepared for Lincoln County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lincoln County, CO?
Lincoln County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 7th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lincoln County?
Lincoln County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (58th percentile), tornado (25th percentile), earthquake (19th percentile), flooding (15th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 58th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lincoln County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Lincoln County's composite risk percentile is 7th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Lincoln County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Lincoln County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Lincoln County's wildfire risk is at the 58th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Lincoln County is at the 15th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Lincoln County a safe place to live?
Lincoln County's composite risk score of 7th percentile is below the Colorado state average of 41th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 58th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.