riskbycounty
FEMA National Risk Index

Saguache County Disaster Risk

Saguache County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

14th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#46

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

17th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Risk Advisory: Saguache County

Risk Verdict

Saguache County has a very low overall disaster risk profile, scoring in the 14th percentile nationally. This county is among the safer counties in the United States from a natural disaster perspective, though no area is entirely risk-free.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is the dominant hazard for Saguache County, scoring in the 64th percentile nationally. It is followed by earthquake risk at the 37th percentile. Additional hazards include flood (17th), tornado (8th).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire risk as the top concern, Saguache County residents should create defensible space around your property, sign up for local emergency alerts, and prepare a go-bag with essential documents and medications. Secondary risks such as earthquake also warrant attention in household and community preparedness planning. FEMA recommends all households maintain at least 72 hours of food, water, and medication supplies regardless of specific hazard exposure.

Regional Context

Saguache County is notably safer than the average county in Colorado. Its composite risk score is 26.4 points lower than the state average, indicating below-average exposure to natural hazards relative to other counties in the state.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Saguache County, CO?
Saguache County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 14th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Saguache County?
Saguache County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (64th percentile), earthquake (37th percentile), flooding (17th percentile), tornado (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 64th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Saguache County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Saguache County's composite risk percentile is 14th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Saguache County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Saguache County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Saguache County's wildfire risk is at the 64th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Saguache County is at the 17th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Saguache County a safe place to live?
Saguache County's composite risk score of 14th percentile is below the Colorado state average of 41th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 64th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.

Counties with Similar Risk

Phillips County

Colorado

-1.9

Very Low

12th percentile

Moffat County

Colorado

-2.2

Very Low

12th percentile

Washington County

Colorado

-2.3

Very Low

12th percentile

By Logan Johnson, Founder & Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Logan Johnson, Founder & Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.

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