riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Knox County Disaster Risk

Knox County, Illinois

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

57th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#48

of 102 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

49th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 49% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 22% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Knox County, Illinois

Knox County slightly exceeds state average risk

Knox County's composite risk score of 57.16 slightly exceeds Illinois's state average of 54.46, placing it in the relatively low-risk category. The county's profile reflects balanced exposure across multiple hazards without severe vulnerability to any single threat.

Slightly above-average risk statewide

With a score of 57.16 versus the state average of 54.46, Knox County ranks just above the midpoint in statewide risk. Tornado exposure of 67.81 drives the county's overall score, while flood and earthquake risks remain moderate.

Comparable to nearby rural counties

Knox County's 57.16 score exceeds Jo Daviess County (51.30) and Johnson County (51.08) but trails Kendall County (80.25) and Jefferson County (77.23). This positions it among the safer counties in its region.

Tornadoes pose the main hazard

Knox County's tornado risk of 67.81 is its most significant natural disaster threat, though still below statewide averages for the most vulnerable counties. Flood risk of 49.36 and earthquake risk of 58.43 are moderate, while wildfire risk of 1.11 is virtually nonexistent.

Standard coverage with tornado focus

Knox County residents should maintain comprehensive homeowners insurance with special attention to tornado coverage or purchase a separate rider. Consider developing a family emergency plan and identifying a safe room, as tornado remains the most likely significant hazard for this location.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Knox County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    68th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    58th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    49th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Knox County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 57th, Knox County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Above-average risk does not mean imminent danger; it signals that informed, hazard-specific preparedness has high value here.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Knox County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 68th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 58th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (49th percentile), hurricane (22th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 68th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Knox County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. Alongside tornado exposure, earthquake at the 58th percentile nationally means Knox County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. For Knox County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

Knox County tracks the Illinois county average closely, sitting 2.7 composite points above the state mean — neither a standout high-risk nor low-risk county within Illinois.

Is your household prepared for Knox County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Knox County, IL?
Knox County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 57th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Knox County?
Knox County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (68th percentile), earthquake (58th percentile), flooding (49th percentile), hurricane (22th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 68th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Knox County risk compare to the Illinois average?
Knox County's composite risk percentile is 57th, compared to the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Knox County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Illinois.
Is Knox County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Knox County's tornado risk is at the 68th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Knox County is at the 49th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Knox County higher risk than average?
Knox County's composite risk score of 57th percentile is above the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (68th percentile), along with earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.