riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

McDonough County Disaster Risk

McDonough County, Illinois

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

38th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#72

of 102 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

21th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 21% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in McDonough County, Illinois

McDonough ranks well below state average

McDonough County's composite risk score of 37.53 places it in the Very Low risk category, significantly below Illinois's state average of 54.46. This makes McDonough one of the safer counties for natural disaster exposure in the state.

Among Illinois's lowest-risk counties

McDonough County ranks among the safest counties in Illinois, with exceptionally low wildfire risk (0.86) and flood risk (21.09). Its tornado risk of 52.00 remains below state averages, and earthquake exposure is moderate at 59.57.

Safest county in its region

McDonough County's composite score of 37.53 is notably lower than neighboring Mason County (43.03), Massac County (61.61), and especially Madison County (93.42). It ranks among the safest in west-central Illinois.

Tornado risk exceeds other hazards

McDonough County's tornado risk of 52.00 is its highest exposure, though still moderately below state averages. Earthquake risk of 59.57 is the only other concern of note, while flooding and wildfire risks are minimal.

Standard insurance typically suffices

McDonough County's low risk profile means standard homeowners insurance provides adequate coverage for most residents. Ensuring a designated safe room for tornado season and a basic preparedness plan addresses the county's primary natural hazard exposure.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in McDonough County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    60th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    52th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    21th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: McDonough County

Risk Verdict

McDonough County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 38th percentile nationally. At the 38th percentile nationally, McDonough County's natural hazard profile is comparatively favorable — community resilience is reinforced when individual households maintain a reviewed emergency plan.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is McDonough County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 60th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 52th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (21th percentile), hurricane (20th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 60th percentile nationally for earthquake exposure, McDonough County households benefit from practicing Drop, Cover, and Hold On — the protocol that minimizes injury during shaking. Getting under a sturdy table or desk and holding on until shaking stops is the key action. Alongside earthquake exposure, McDonough County's tornado risk at the 52th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Building age matters for earthquake risk in McDonough County: structures built before local seismic code adoption are statistically more vulnerable. Contacting the local building department about retrofit programs can reveal whether your structure qualifies for mitigation assistance.

Regional Context

McDonough County falls 16.9 points below Illinois's typical county risk level, making it one of the safer natural-hazard environments in the state.

Is your household prepared for McDonough County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in McDonough County, IL?
McDonough County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 38th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect McDonough County?
McDonough County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (60th percentile), tornado (52th percentile), flooding (21th percentile), hurricane (20th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 60th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does McDonough County risk compare to the Illinois average?
McDonough County's composite risk percentile is 38th, compared to the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means McDonough County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Illinois.
Is McDonough County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, McDonough County's earthquake risk is at the 60th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, McDonough County is at the 21th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is McDonough County a safe place to live?
McDonough County's composite risk score of 38th percentile is below the Illinois state average of 55th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 60th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.