riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Carter County Disaster Risk

Carter County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

53th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#43

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

69th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Carter County, Kentucky

Carter faces above-average disaster risk

Carter County scores 52.74 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the Relatively Low category but notably above the national average. This eastern Kentucky county contends with more frequent natural hazards than typical U.S. communities.

Moderate risk within Kentucky

At 52.74, Carter County scores 8.5 points above Kentucky's state average of 44.21, ranking it in the upper-middle tier statewide. About half of Kentucky's counties carry higher composite risk, but Carter faces more exposure than the typical county.

Higher-risk Appalachian county

Carter County's 52.74 score exceeds Caldwell (38.96) and Carroll (23.41) counties but falls below Calloway (75.35) and Christian (79.64). Among eastern Kentucky counties, Carter faces notably elevated wildfire and flood exposure.

Wildfire and flood risks stand out

Carter County's wildfire risk of 58.24 is among the highest in Kentucky, reflecting dense forests and dry seasons in the Appalachian region. Flood risk of 69.40 compounds the threat, as mountain terrain creates rapid runoff and swollen waterways during heavy rain.

Plan for wildfire and water damage

Carter County homeowners should clear brush and dead trees from around structures to reduce wildfire vulnerability and ensure gutters remain clear. Flood insurance is essential for properties in valleys or near streams, and a comprehensive emergency plan should account for both hazards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Carter County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    69th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    58th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    42th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Carter County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 53th, Carter County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Above-average risk does not mean imminent danger; it signals that informed, hazard-specific preparedness has high value here.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Carter County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 69th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 58th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (42th percentile), tornado (40th percentile), hurricane (37th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk ranking at the 69th percentile nationally, Carter County residents face one of the most financially damaging hazards without specialized coverage. Flood insurance through the NFIP or a private carrier is worth evaluating regardless of current mortgage requirements. The county's second-ranked hazard, wildfire at the 58th percentile nationally, means Carter County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Registering for Carter County's county emergency alert system — typically through the county emergency management office's website — ensures households receive early warning when flood events develop faster than forecast.

Regional Context

At 8.5 points above the Kentucky state average, Carter County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Kentucky county.

Is your household prepared for Carter County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Carter County, KY?
Carter County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 53th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Carter County?
Carter County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (69th percentile), wildfire (58th percentile), earthquake (42th percentile), tornado (40th percentile), hurricane (37th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 69th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Carter County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Carter County's composite risk percentile is 53th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Carter County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Carter County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Carter County's flooding risk is at the 69th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Carter County higher risk than average?
Carter County's composite risk score of 53th percentile is above the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (69th percentile), along with wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.