riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Muhlenberg County Disaster Risk

Muhlenberg County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

53th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#42

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

46th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Muhlenberg County, Kentucky

Muhlenberg's risk sits above national average

With a composite risk score of 53.24, Muhlenberg County faces a relatively low overall disaster threat, yet scores notably higher than the national median across multiple hazard categories. The county's earthquake risk (85.78) and tornado exposure (54.61) are the primary drivers of this above-average vulnerability, reflecting Kentucky's seismic and severe weather patterns.

Middle-of-pack risk in Kentucky

Muhlenberg's composite score of 53.24 places it above Kentucky's state average of 44.21, ranking it in the upper-middle range of the state's 120 counties. This reflects the county's moderate exposure to tornadoes and seismic activity compared to lower-risk counties like Owen and Owsley.

Higher risk than most regional peers

Neighboring Nelson County (55.18) and Ohio County (54.17) show similar risk profiles, while nearby Nicholas County (18.99) and Owen County (15.20) experience significantly lower overall hazard exposure. Muhlenberg's earthquake and tornado vulnerabilities distinguish it from its lower-risk neighbors to the east and north.

Earthquakes and tornadoes dominate

Muhlenberg County faces its greatest hazards from earthquakes (85.78 risk score) and tornadoes (54.61), with earthquake risk being particularly acute and deserving serious attention. Flood risk (45.74) ranks moderate, while wildfire (18.16) presents minimal concern for most residents.

Secure coverage for quakes and storms

Kentucky's standard homeowners insurance typically excludes earthquake damage, making a separate earthquake policy essential given Muhlenberg's 85.78 exposure score. Storm-resistant home modifications and comprehensive homeowners insurance become critical investments to protect against the county's significant tornado threat.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Muhlenberg County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    86th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    55th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    46th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Muhlenberg County

Risk Verdict

Muhlenberg County ranks at the 53th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Muhlenberg County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 86th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 55th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (46th percentile), hurricane (30th percentile), wildfire (18th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Muhlenberg County ranks at the 86th percentile nationally for earthquake risk. Unlike most natural hazards, earthquakes provide no advance warning; preparedness here means structural adjustments and a practiced response, not alert monitoring. Alongside earthquake exposure, Muhlenberg County's tornado risk at the 55th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. For earthquake preparedness, Muhlenberg County's county emergency management office often maintains a list of community water supply points, Red Cross shelter locations, and post-quake assistance programs — useful resources to identify before an event occurs.

Regional Context

Compared to other Kentucky counties, Muhlenberg County runs 9.0 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Muhlenberg County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Muhlenberg County, KY?
Muhlenberg County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 53th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Muhlenberg County?
Muhlenberg County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (86th percentile), tornado (55th percentile), flooding (46th percentile), hurricane (30th percentile), wildfire (18th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 86th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Muhlenberg County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Muhlenberg County's composite risk percentile is 53th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Muhlenberg County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Muhlenberg County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Muhlenberg County's earthquake risk is at the 86th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Muhlenberg County is at the 46th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Muhlenberg County higher risk than average?
Muhlenberg County's composite risk score of 53th percentile is above the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (86th percentile), along with tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.