riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pine County Disaster Risk

Pine County, Minnesota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

62th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#22

of 87 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

69th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 3% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pine County, Minnesota

Pine County's risk moderately exceeds U.S. baseline

Pine County scores 62.15 on the composite risk scale, placing it comfortably above the national average. This "Relatively Low" rating reflects a diverse hazard profile anchored by elevated flood and wildfire exposure. The score signals meaningful but manageable risk that calls for targeted preparation rather than extreme alarm.

Pine County ranks among Minnesota's higher-risk counties

Pine County's composite score of 62.15 substantially exceeds Minnesota's state average of 42.38, positioning it in the upper third of the state's 87 counties. This elevation is driven primarily by flood risk (69.27) and wildfire exposure (65.78) that reflect the county's forest and river geography. The ranking underscores Pine's distinct vulnerability profile compared to most Minnesota counties.

Pine County faces higher exposure than northeast peers

Pine County's score of 62.15 notably exceeds Red Lake County to the west (2.16) and Polk County to the northwest (67.05), putting it in a distinctive middle-upper position. Pine's tornado risk (52.04) exceeds most regional neighbors, while its wildfire exposure (65.78) reflects substantial forest coverage that dominates northeastern Minnesota. This positioning makes Pine more vulnerable than some neighbors but less exposed than Minnesota's highest-risk counties.

Flooding and wildfire shape Pine County safety

Flood risk scores 69.27, reflecting the St. Louis and Kettle Rivers that drain through the county and pose seasonal inundation threats, especially during spring snowmelt. Wildfire risk reaches 65.78, driven by dense boreal forest that covers roughly 60% of the county and creates fuel for potential large-scale fires. Tornado risk is moderate at 52.04, more significant than lower-risk Minnesota counties but below the state's most tornado-prone areas.

Safeguard against water and fire in Pine County

Obtain a separate flood insurance policy immediately if your home is in a mapped flood zone—standard homeowners policies do not cover flood damage. Invest in a wildfire insurance rider and create defensible space by removing dead trees, clearing brush within 100 feet of structures, and keeping gutters clean. Meet with your insurance agent annually to verify coverage limits match your home's current replacement value and location-specific risks.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pine County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    69th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    66th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    52th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pine County

Risk Verdict

Pine County's FEMA risk score places it at the 62th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Pine County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 69th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 66th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (52th percentile), earthquake (3th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 69th percentile nationally for flood risk, Pine County residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. The county's second-ranked hazard, wildfire at the 66th percentile nationally, means Pine County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Pine County's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The Minnesota county average is 19.8 composite points below Pine County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Pine County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pine County, MN?
Pine County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 62th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pine County?
Pine County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (69th percentile), wildfire (66th percentile), tornado (52th percentile), earthquake (3th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 69th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pine County risk compare to the Minnesota average?
Pine County's composite risk percentile is 62th, compared to the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Pine County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Minnesota.
Is Pine County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Pine County's flooding risk is at the 69th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Pine County higher risk than average?
Pine County's composite risk score of 62th percentile is above the Minnesota state average of 42th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (69th percentile), along with wildfire and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.