riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Bernalillo County Disaster Risk

Bernalillo County, New Mexico

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

94th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#2

of 33 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

96th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Bernalillo County, New Mexico

Bernalillo faces above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 94.40, Bernalillo County ranks in the relatively high category—well above New Mexico's state average of 58.92. This places the county among communities nationwide experiencing elevated exposure to multiple natural hazards that demand preparedness planning.

Second-highest risk in New Mexico

Bernalillo ranks second statewide for overall disaster risk, trailing only Doña Ana County. The county's concentration of people and infrastructure in the Albuquerque metro area amplifies the impact potential of the hazards it faces.

Riskier than surrounding areas

Bernalillo's score of 94.40 significantly exceeds its neighbors: Cibola County (58.37), Colfax County (58.49), and Torrance County. The urban density and geographic positioning of Bernalillo create a risk profile distinct from the more rural counties surrounding it.

Earthquakes and floods top the list

Bernalillo's earthquake risk scores highest at 97.71, reflecting its position along active fault lines—a threat that affects the entire metro area simultaneously. Flood risk ranks second at 96.28, driven by monsoon patterns and Rio Grande dynamics, while wildfire risk at 94.97 threatens outlying neighborhoods and water supplies.

Earthquake and flood insurance essential

Standard homeowners policies exclude earthquake and flood damage, yet Bernalillo residents face both threats at near-critical levels. Secure separate earthquake and flood policies now—waiting until after an event leaves you uninsured and financially vulnerable.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Bernalillo County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    96th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    95th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Bernalillo County

Risk Verdict

At the 94th percentile nationally, Bernalillo County is among the more hazard-exposed counties in the United States. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Bernalillo County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Bernalillo County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 96th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (95th percentile), tornado (56th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 98th percentile nationally for earthquake exposure, Bernalillo County households benefit from practicing Drop, Cover, and Hold On — the protocol that minimizes injury during shaking. Getting under a sturdy table or desk and holding on until shaking stops is the key action. Alongside earthquake exposure, Bernalillo County's flood risk at the 96th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Building age matters for earthquake risk in Bernalillo County: structures built before local seismic code adoption are statistically more vulnerable. Contacting the local building department about retrofit programs can reveal whether your structure qualifies for mitigation assistance.

Regional Context

At 35.5 points above the New Mexico state average, Bernalillo County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical New Mexico county.

Is your household prepared for Bernalillo County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Bernalillo County, NM?
Bernalillo County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 94th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Bernalillo County?
Bernalillo County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (98th percentile), flooding (96th percentile), wildfire (95th percentile), tornado (56th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Bernalillo County risk compare to the New Mexico average?
Bernalillo County's composite risk percentile is 94th, compared to the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Bernalillo County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New Mexico.
Is Bernalillo County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Bernalillo County's earthquake risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Bernalillo County is at the 96th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Bernalillo County higher risk than average?
Bernalillo County's composite risk score of 94th percentile is above the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (98th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.