riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Doña Ana County Disaster Risk

Doña Ana County, New Mexico

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

96th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#1

of 33 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

98th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 21% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Doña Ana County, New Mexico

Doña Ana faces the highest statewide risk

With a composite risk score of 96.09, Doña Ana County ranks as New Mexico's riskiest community and well above the national average for disaster exposure. The county's southern border location and Rio Grande valley geography create extreme vulnerability to multiple concurrent hazards.

Highest-risk county in New Mexico

Doña Ana County ranks first statewide for overall disaster risk, exceeding even Bernalillo County (94.40). The county's combination of seismic, flood, and wildfire threats creates a uniquely challenging risk landscape.

Riskier than any nearby county

Doña Ana's 96.09 score substantially exceeds Luna County (59.37) to the west and Sierra County to the north. The county stands apart regionally for its extreme composite risk profile.

Floods and earthquakes pose twin threats

Flood risk (98.38) reaches maximum severity in Doña Ana, driven by Rio Grande dynamics and monsoon exposure, while earthquake risk (91.22) reflects active fault lines throughout the county. Wildfire risk (86.58) and even modest hurricane risk (36.55) add secondary but real dangers.

Flood and earthquake insurance mandatory

Doña Ana residents must obtain both separate flood and earthquake insurance immediately—these threats are not covered by standard policies and losses often exceed expectations. Review and update coverage annually, as the county's extreme risk profile demands maximum protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Doña Ana County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    91th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    87th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Doña Ana County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard exposure in Doña Ana County is notably high, placing it at the 96th percentile among all U.S. counties. Doña Ana County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Doña Ana County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 91th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (87th percentile), hurricane (37th percentile), tornado (21th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood ranked as the primary hazard at the 98th percentile nationally, Doña Ana County households should build a go-bag that includes important documents, medications, and supplies to sustain the family for at least three days if evacuation is needed. Alongside flooding, earthquake exposure at the 91th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. A waterproof container for documents (insurance policies, ID, prescriptions) and a clear household communication plan for when phone networks are congested are the two highest-value low-cost preparedness steps for Doña Ana County households.

Regional Context

A composite score 37.2 points above the New Mexico state average puts Doña Ana County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Doña Ana County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Doña Ana County, NM?
Doña Ana County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 96th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Doña Ana County?
Doña Ana County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (98th percentile), earthquake (91th percentile), wildfire (87th percentile), hurricane (37th percentile), tornado (21th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Doña Ana County risk compare to the New Mexico average?
Doña Ana County's composite risk percentile is 96th, compared to the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Doña Ana County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New Mexico.
Is Doña Ana County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Doña Ana County's flooding risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Doña Ana County higher risk than average?
Doña Ana County's composite risk score of 96th percentile is above the New Mexico state average of 59th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (98th percentile), along with earthquake and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.