riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Sullivan County Disaster Risk

Sullivan County, New York

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

78th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#24

of 62 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

87th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 71% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Sullivan County, New York

Sullivan County's Moderate Risk Exposure

Sullivan County scores 78.28 with a Relatively Low rating, slightly exceeding New York's state average of 69.42 by about 9 points. The county faces moderate-to-elevated risk across multiple hazard types, particularly tornadoes and hurricanes.

Above-Average Risk for New York

With a composite score of 78.28, Sullivan County ranks in the state's moderate-risk tier, outpaced only by Suffolk County and Ulster County. Its tornado risk (71.34) and hurricane risk (79.18) significantly exceed statewide norms, reflecting the county's positioning in New York's variable hazard landscape.

Comparable Risk to Regional Counties

Sullivan County's 78.28 score places it very close to St. Lawrence County (77.89) and Steuben County (76.88), though its tornado exposure is notably higher. Ulster County (87.69) remains the region's riskiest, while Seneca and Tioga counties are significantly safer.

Tornadoes and Hurricanes Dominate

Tornado risk at 71.34 and hurricane risk at 79.18 are Sullivan County's primary concerns, both substantially above state averages. Flood risk (86.61) and earthquake risk (68.32) add additional layers of vulnerability across the county's diverse landscape.

Secure Wind and Flood Coverage

Sullivan County homeowners should prioritize tornado and hurricane wind protection in their insurance policies, plus comprehensive flood coverage for properties near water bodies. Older homes and mobile structures face heightened vulnerability and benefit from additional structural reinforcement.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Sullivan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    87th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    79th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    71th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Sullivan County

Risk Verdict

Sullivan County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 78th percentile across all U.S. counties. Sullivan County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Sullivan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 87th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 79th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (71th percentile), earthquake (68th percentile), wildfire (30th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood ranked as the primary hazard at the 87th percentile nationally, Sullivan County households should build a go-bag that includes important documents, medications, and supplies to sustain the family for at least three days if evacuation is needed. Alongside flooding, hurricane exposure at the 79th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. A waterproof container for documents (insurance policies, ID, prescriptions) and a clear household communication plan for when phone networks are congested are the two highest-value low-cost preparedness steps for Sullivan County households.

Regional Context

A composite score 8.9 points above the New York state average puts Sullivan County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Sullivan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Sullivan County, NY?
Sullivan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 78th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Sullivan County?
Sullivan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (87th percentile), hurricane (79th percentile), tornado (71th percentile), earthquake (68th percentile), wildfire (30th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 87th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Sullivan County risk compare to the New York average?
Sullivan County's composite risk percentile is 78th, compared to the New York state average of 69th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Sullivan County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New York.
Is Sullivan County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Sullivan County's flooding risk is at the 87th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Sullivan County higher risk than average?
Sullivan County's composite risk score of 78th percentile is above the New York state average of 69th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (87th percentile), along with hurricane and tornado and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.