riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Guilford County Disaster Risk

Guilford County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

93th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#8

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

97th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Guilford County, North Carolina

Guilford faces above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 93.45, Guilford County ranks as Relatively Moderate—well above North Carolina's state average of 66.72 and the national median. This means residents face meaningfully elevated exposure to multiple hazard types compared to typical U.S. counties.

Among North Carolina's riskiest counties

Guilford's score of 93.45 places it in the upper tier of risk across all 100 North Carolina counties. The county's elevated composite score reflects significant vulnerability to several major hazard categories that demand serious preparedness attention.

Riskier than most surrounding counties

Guilford's 93.45 score substantially exceeds neighboring Randolph, Alamance, and Davidson counties, making it one of the highest-risk areas in the Piedmont. Only Henderson County (83.78) among nearby counties approaches Guilford's risk profile.

Flooding and tornadoes dominate threats

Guilford's flood risk score of 96.63 is the dominant concern—ranking among the state's most hazardous counties for water damage. Tornado risk at 88.68 compounds this, making severe weather preparedness and flood insurance critical for homeowners.

Prioritize flood and wind coverage now

Standard homeowners insurance doesn't cover flooding; Guilford residents should secure separate flood insurance given the 96.63 flood risk score. Consider reinforcing your home against high winds and ensure your policy covers tornado damage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Guilford County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    90th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    89th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Guilford County

Risk Verdict

Guilford County's overall risk score at the 93th percentile nationally signals meaningful exposure to multiple natural hazard types. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Guilford County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 90th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (89th percentile), earthquake (88th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Guilford County sits at the 97th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. The county's second-ranked hazard, hurricane at the 90th percentile nationally, means Guilford County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Regardless of specific hazard, Guilford County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

Compared to other North Carolina counties, Guilford County runs 26.7 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Guilford County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Guilford County, NC?
Guilford County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 93th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Guilford County?
Guilford County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (97th percentile), hurricane (90th percentile), tornado (89th percentile), earthquake (88th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Guilford County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Guilford County's composite risk percentile is 93th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Guilford County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Guilford County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Guilford County's flooding risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Guilford County higher risk than average?
Guilford County's composite risk score of 93th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (97th percentile), along with hurricane and tornado and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.