riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Union County Disaster Risk

Union County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

89th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#19

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

92th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 42% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 81% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Union County, North Carolina

Union faces above-average disaster exposure

Union County's composite risk score of 89.06 ranks as Relatively Moderate—well above the national average and placing it among higher-risk U.S. counties. The county confronts multiple serious natural disaster hazards simultaneously.

Among North Carolina's highest-risk counties

Union's score of 89.06 far exceeds North Carolina's state average of 66.72, ranking it among the state's most vulnerable counties. Only a handful of North Carolina counties face comparable overall risk levels.

Riskier than surrounding counties

Union County (89.06) faces substantially higher risk than Warren County (50.76) and Vance County (48.38) to its north. Wake County (95.55) remains the only immediate neighbor with comparable overall exposure.

Tornados, floods, and earthquakes threaten

Union faces extreme tornado risk at 94.69 and significant flood risk at 92.49—typical of the Piedmont region's exposure. Earthquake risk of 84.99 adds an additional layer of concern uncommon to most North Carolina counties.

Invest in comprehensive coverage now

Union residents need flood insurance, a reinforced safe room or storm shelter for tornado protection, and earthquake-resistant improvements. Multiple hazards demand a layered approach—standard homeowners insurance alone is insufficient.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Union County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    92th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    85th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Union County

Risk Verdict

Union County's overall risk score at the 89th percentile nationally signals meaningful exposure to multiple natural hazard types. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Union County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 92th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (85th percentile), hurricane (81th percentile), wildfire (42th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Union County ranks at the 95th percentile nationally for tornado exposure. Unlike many slow-onset hazards, tornadoes in Union County can reach full intensity in minutes; a pre-practiced household shelter plan matters far more than stockpiled supplies. The secondary flood hazard at the 92th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Union County's preparedness calendar, since flood and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. Union County county emergency management typically publishes annual severe-weather preparedness guides tailored to local tornado patterns; households benefit from reviewing these before storm season begins each spring.

Regional Context

Compared to other North Carolina counties, Union County runs 22.3 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Union County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Union County, NC?
Union County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 89th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Union County?
Union County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (95th percentile), flooding (92th percentile), earthquake (85th percentile), hurricane (81th percentile), wildfire (42th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Union County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Union County's composite risk percentile is 89th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Union County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Union County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Union County's tornado risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Union County is at the 92th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Union County higher risk than average?
Union County's composite risk score of 89th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (95th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.