riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Marion County Disaster Risk

Marion County, Oregon

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

96th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#4

of 36 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

91th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 22% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Marion County, Oregon

Marion ranks near the nation's highest risk

Marion County's composite risk score of 95.52 places it among America's most hazard-exposed counties, earning a Relatively High rating. The county's earthquake risk of 99.08 is nearly maximal, while flood risk of 90.52 creates compounding vulnerabilities. Marion's risk profile rivals seismically active zones in California or flood-prone Gulf Coast regions.

Oregon's second-highest risk county

Marion ranks second among Oregon's 36 counties at 95.52—surpassed only by Lane (96.41) and well above the state average of 63.43. Marion's extreme earthquake and flood risks place it in Oregon's highest-risk tier. The county's central Willamette Valley location concentrates these seismic and hydrologic hazards.

Riskier than most Willamette Valley peers

Marion (95.52) substantially exceeds nearby Linn (88.10) and sits just behind Lane (96.41) on composite risk. Marion's earthquake risk of 99.08 is the highest in the state, while its flood risk of 90.52 only trails Lane's 97.20. This makes Marion Oregon's inland hazard hotspot.

Earthquakes and floods are extreme threats

Marion faces near-maximal earthquake risk of 99.08 and severe flood risk of 90.52—two of Oregon's most dangerous exposures. Tornado risk of 22.46 is notably elevated statewide, adding a third concern to Marion's hazard profile. The combination of seismic, hydrologic, and atmospheric hazards makes Marion exceptionally vulnerable.

Earthquake and flood insurance non-negotiable

Marion County homeowners must secure earthquake insurance—the 99.08 risk makes it essential, not optional. Flood insurance is equally critical, particularly for Willamette River basin properties; verify separate flood coverage since standard policies exclude it. Review all coverage annually; Marion's extreme hazard exposure may trigger premium changes or coverage restrictions.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Marion County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    91th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    60th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Marion County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard exposure in Marion County is notably high, placing it at the 96th percentile among all U.S. counties. Marion County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Marion County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 91th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (60th percentile), tornado (22th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for earthquake risk, Marion County is in a zone where a post-earthquake communications plan matters almost as much as pre-earthquake structural preparation — phone networks are typically congested for hours after a significant event. The county's flood risk at the 91th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. For Marion County households, the three highest-impact earthquake preparedness actions are: (1) anchor heavy furniture and water heaters, (2) store three days of water at one gallon per person per day, and (3) identify a family reunification plan for the post-quake communication blackout period.

Regional Context

A composite score 32.1 points above the Oregon state average puts Marion County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Marion County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Marion County, OR?
Marion County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 96th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Marion County?
Marion County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (99th percentile), flooding (91th percentile), wildfire (60th percentile), tornado (22th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Marion County risk compare to the Oregon average?
Marion County's composite risk percentile is 96th, compared to the Oregon state average of 63th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Marion County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Oregon.
Is Marion County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Marion County's earthquake risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Marion County is at the 91th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Marion County higher risk than average?
Marion County's composite risk score of 96th percentile is above the Oregon state average of 63th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (99th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.