riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Chelan County Disaster Risk

Chelan County, Washington

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

91th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#11

of 39 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

91th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Chelan County, Washington

Chelan County faces high disaster exposure

Chelan County's composite risk score of 90.87 places it in the relatively moderate risk category, significantly above the national average. This central Washington county experiences serious natural hazard threats that demand active preparedness.

Among Washington's most hazardous counties

Chelan County ranks second-highest in Washington with a composite score of 90.87, exceeding the state average of 70.01 by 30%. Only Clark County (92.24) faces greater overall disaster risk in the state.

Highest risk in the central region

Chelan County (90.87) faces more risk than nearby Adams County (23.22) and Asotin County (17.91), but matches the hazard exposure of other central and eastern Washington counties. Its mountain terrain and position relative to earthquake zones create a particularly dangerous natural environment.

Extreme wildfire and earthquake hazards

Chelan County experiences the state's highest wildfire risk at 99.55 and severe earthquake risk at 88.77, combining to create exceptional hazard exposure. Flood risk (91.25) represents a secondary but still serious concern, while tornado risk remains relatively low at 9.26.

Earthquake and wildfire coverage non-negotiable

Chelan County residents must carry both earthquake insurance and wildfire protection given the county's extreme scores in these categories. These specialized coverages fall outside standard homeowners policies and require separate policies or substantial endorsements to ensure your home is protected.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Chelan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    91th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    89th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Chelan County

Risk Verdict

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Chelan County at the 91th percentile nationally — above average and worth proactive preparation. Residents should prioritize a formal household emergency plan, including evacuation routes, insurance review, and a well-stocked emergency kit.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Chelan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 91th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (89th percentile), tornado (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire ranked at the 100th percentile nationally, Chelan County is in a zone where air quality can deteriorate rapidly before structures are threatened. An N95 respirator and a HEPA air purifier are practical items for Chelan County households to have on hand before fire season. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 91th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Defensible space, insurance review, and an evacuation plan are the three preparedness pillars for Chelan County households — and the insurance review is the one most often deferred by Chelan County residents and most costly to skip when a fire event actually occurs.

Regional Context

Chelan County is 20.9 composite risk points above the Washington average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Chelan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Chelan County, WA?
Chelan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 91th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Chelan County?
Chelan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (100th percentile), flooding (91th percentile), earthquake (89th percentile), tornado (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Chelan County risk compare to the Washington average?
Chelan County's composite risk percentile is 91th, compared to the Washington state average of 70th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Chelan County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Washington.
Is Chelan County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Chelan County's wildfire risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Chelan County is at the 91th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Chelan County higher risk than average?
Chelan County's composite risk score of 91th percentile is above the Washington state average of 70th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (100th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.