riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Madison County Disaster Risk

Madison County, Illinois

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

93th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#7

of 102 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

92th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Madison County, Illinois

Madison ranks above national average

Madison County's composite risk score of 93.42 places it in the Relatively Moderate category, well above the state average of 54.46. This elevated risk profile means residents face greater exposure to multiple natural hazards compared to typical Illinois counties.

Among Illinois's most at-risk counties

Madison County ranks as one of the highest-risk counties in Illinois, driven by exceptionally high tornado and earthquake scores of 97.61 and 97.07 respectively. Its flood risk of 92.27 further compounds vulnerability across the county.

Significantly riskier than neighboring counties

Madison's composite score of 93.42 far exceeds nearby Marion County (77.13) and Massac County (61.61), making it a notable outlier in southwestern Illinois. This difference is primarily driven by Madison's extreme tornado and earthquake susceptibility.

Tornadoes and earthquakes pose urgent threats

Madison County residents face a tornado risk score of 97.61—among the highest in the state—and an earthquake risk of 97.07, both demanding serious preparedness. Flooding also presents substantial danger with a risk score of 92.27, particularly near the Mississippi and Illinois Rivers.

Comprehensive coverage is essential here

Standard homeowners policies typically exclude tornado and earthquake damage, making separate coverage critical for Madison County residents. Given the county's high composite risk score, consider adding umbrella liability insurance and ensuring your property can withstand severe weather.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Madison County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    92th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Madison County

Risk Verdict

At the 93th percentile nationally, Madison County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Madison County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Madison County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (92th percentile), hurricane (33th percentile), wildfire (15th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 98th percentile nationally makes Madison County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Alongside tornado exposure, earthquake at the 97th percentile nationally means Madison County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. In Madison County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Illinois county average is 39.0 composite points below Madison County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Madison County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Madison County, IL?
Madison County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 93th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Madison County?
Madison County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (98th percentile), earthquake (97th percentile), flooding (92th percentile), hurricane (33th percentile), wildfire (15th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Madison County risk compare to the Illinois average?
Madison County's composite risk percentile is 93th, compared to the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Madison County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Illinois.
Is Madison County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Madison County's tornado risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Madison County is at the 92th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Madison County higher risk than average?
Madison County's composite risk score of 93th percentile is above the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (98th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.